Risk-free Treasury securities
1. Top hedge fund manager Sally Buffit believes that a stock with the same market risk as the S&P 500 will sell at year-end at a price of $46. The stock will pay a dividend at year-end of $3.00. Assume that risk-free Treasury securities currently offer an interest rate of 2.4%.
Average rates of return on Treasury bills, government bonds, and common stocks, 1900–2017 (figures in percent per year) are as follows.
Portfolio |
Average Annual Rate of Return (%) |
Average Premium (Extra return versus Treasury bills) (%) |
Treasury bills |
|
3.8 |
|
|
|
|
Treasury bonds |
|
5.3 |
|
|
1.5 |
|
Common stocks |
|
11.5 |
|
|
7.7 |
|
|
a. What is the discount rate on the stock? (Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.)
b. What price should she be willing to pay for the stock today? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
2. Assume these are the stock market and Treasury bill returns for a 5-year period:
Year |
|
Stock Market Return (%) |
T-Bill Return (%) |
2013 |
|
|
33.30 |
|
|
0.12 |
|
2014 |
|
|
13.20 |
|
|
0.12 |
|
2015 |
|
|
−3.50 |
|
|
0.12 |
|
2016 |
|
|
14.50 |
|
|
0.07 |
|
2017 |
|
|
23.80 |
|
|
0.09 |
|
|
Required:
a. What was the risk premium on common stock in each year?
|
|
Year |
Risk Premium |
2013 |
|
% |
2014 |
|
% |
2015 |
|
% |
2016 |
|
% |
2017 |
|
% |
|
·
b. What was the average risk premium?
c. What was the standard deviation of the risk premium? (Ignore that the estimation is from a sample of data.)
3. A stock is selling today for $50 per share. At the end of the year, it pays a dividend of $2 per share and sells for $59.
Required:
a. What is the total rate of return on the stock?
b. What are the dividend yield and percentage capital gain?
c. Now suppose the year-end stock price after the dividend is paid is $44. What are the dividend yield and percentage capital gain in this case?
4.
You purchase 100 shares of stock for $40 a share. The stock pays a $2 per share dividend at year-end.
a. What is the rate of return on your investment if the end-of-year stock price is (i) $38; (ii) $40; (iii) $46? (Leave no cells blank – be certain to enter “0” wherever required. Enter your answers as a whole percent.)
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