Verification: 44a8787c550138ed

Week 5 – Discussion 1

In 200-250 words, determine where we are in the real estate cycle. Do you think we’ve hit the crash bottom? Evaluate when you think the market will start to turn up, if it has. Or, will it continue to decline? If so, how far, and for how much longer? Provide reasoning for your assessments. Support your claims with examples from required material(s) and/or other scholarly resources, and properly cite any references. Respond to at least two of your classmates’ posts by Day 7.

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Solution preview:

A real estate cycle begins anew when demands exceed supply. There are essentially four phases. During the expansion phase, consumers start to spend, business start to grow which helps kickstart the real estate market. Buyers flood the real estate market igniting housing prices to rise. It then becomes a seller’s market. New construction starts to expand, the unemployment rate starts to decline, job grow this expected. Then, the real estate market goes into the hyper supply phase, which can last for a very longtime. Over development starts to occur, there may be other economics factors that start to effect the real estate market, and “core properties that have a high occupancy rate and strong tenants with longer leases may choose to ride out the coming downturn [ CITATION How \l 1033 ].” It is then followed by the recession phase. Supply outweighs the demand causing high vacancy rates to increase. Purchase prices and rents begin to decline. During this phase, opportunistic investors start to seek distressed properties.

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